Braxton Ashcraft
RHP
PIT
6
HRs Allowed
5.6%
HR Rate (Pool)
8.2%
Overall HR/FB
2.81
FIP
3.26
xFIP
-0.45
FIP-xFIP Gap
HR Vulnerability Snapshot
?Pitcher's HR-relevant profile. Red = HR-favorable for batters, blue = HR-resistant. Same vocabulary as batter cards.
Pool + today context
0.5
Pool HR/G ?Home runs allowed per tracked LongDong game day. Used when season HR/9 is unavailable.
8.2%
Overall HR/FB ?Pitcher's overall season HR-per-fly-ball rate. Matchup rows may show handedness splits such as vs LHH or vs RHH.
13th pctile
0.0%
Barrel% Allowed ?Percentage of contact against this pitcher classified as barrels (perfect EV+LA). >12% elite-bad, <5% elite-good.
65.2%
Hard-Hit% Allowed ?% of batted balls hit ≥95 mph against this pitcher. >45% elite homer-prone, <33% elite homer-resistant.
·
FB% ?Fly-ball rate (% of batted balls that are fly balls). >45% extreme fly-ball pitcher — gives up many HRs. <30% ground-ball pitcher — HR-resistant.
2.81
FIP ?Fielding Independent Pitching. >5.0 elite-bad, 4.0–5.0 above avg, <3.5 elite-good. Isolates pitcher's HR/K/BB skill from defense.
13th pctile
3.26
xFIP ?FIP with HR/FB normalised to league average. Better predictor of FUTURE HR rate than FIP.
-0.45
FIP − xFIP ?Positive gap = pitcher has been UNLUCKY with HRs (regression coming). Negative = lucky (regression up). >+0.5 elite regression candidate.
27th pctile
5.6%
Pool HR Rate ?% of LongDong scored matchups against this pitcher that resulted in a HR. Internal benchmark.
107
Pool Matchups
6
HRs Allowed (Pool)
1
Top-15 Matchups
1
HRs to Top-15
5.6%
HR Rate
Recent HR Splits
| Window | Matchups | Game Days | HR | HR Rate | HR/Game | Avg Max EV | Avg HR EV | Avg HR LA | Avg HR Dist | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 7 | 17 | 2 | 2 | 11.8% | 1.0 | 96.3mph | 97.5mph | 32.5° | 372ft | Up +6.2pp |
| Last 15 | 26 | 3 | 2 | 7.7% | 0.67 | 96.6mph | 97.5mph | 32.5° | 372ft | Up +2.1pp |
| Last 30 | 53 | 6 | 4 | 7.5% | 0.67 | 98.2mph | 103.6mph | 27.2° | 390ft | Flat +1.9pp |
Batted-Ball Damage
96.4
Avg Max EV
112.2
Max EV Allowed
58
Hard-Hit Proxy · 65.2%
0
Barrel Flags · 0.0%
102.2
Avg HR EV
29.3°
Avg HR Launch
376
Avg HR Distance
| Date | Batter | Max EV | HR EV | HR LA | HR Dist | HR? |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-06 | Matt Olson | 109.5mph | · | · | · | · |
| 2026-06-06 | Austin Riley | 103.5mph | · | · | · | · |
| 2026-06-06 | Mike Yastrzemski | 102.0mph | · | · | · | · |
| 2026-06-06 | Dominic Smith | 102.0mph | 93.4mph | 29° | 351ft | Yes |
| 2026-05-31 | Alex Jackson | 106.1mph | · | · | · | · |
| 2026-05-31 | Brooks Lee | 101.6mph | 101.6mph | 36° | 393ft | Yes |
| 2026-05-26 | Ian Happ | 108.7mph | · | · | · | · |
| 2026-05-26 | Pete Crow-Armstrong | 105.6mph | · | · | · | · |
HRs Allowed Per Game Day
HRs Allowed
| Date | Batter | Rank | Score | Stadium | EV | Angle | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-06 | Dominic Smith | #194 | 30 | Truist Park | 93.4mph | 29.0° | 351ft |
| 2026-05-31 | Brooks Lee | #217 | 31 | PNC Park | 101.6mph | 36.0° | 393ft |
| 2026-05-21 | Iván Herrera | #100 | 23 | Busch Stadium | 108.7mph | 23.0° | 408.0ft |
| 2026-05-15 | Kyle Schwarber | #11 | 80 | PNC Park | 110.7mph | 21.0° | 408.0ft |
| 2026-04-22 | Josh Jung | #230 | 19 | Globe Life Field | 98.0mph | 34.0° | 344.0ft |
| 2026-03-30 | Austin Hays | #158 | 43 | Great American Ball Park | 100.8mph | 33.0° | 353.0ft |
Pitch Arsenal
| Pitch | Pitches | Usage | RV/100 | Avg EV | Avg LA | HRs |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fastball | 369 | 32.3% | +0.1 | 84.1 | 35.1° | 5 |
| Curveball | 278 | 24.3% | -1.7 | 85.4 | 5.9° | 2 |
| Slider | 273 | 23.9% | +0.4 | 82.5 | -2.6° | 1 |
| Sinker | 170 | 14.9% | -1.7 | 87.4 | -4.1° | 0 |
| Splitter | 53 | 4.6% | -1.6 | 83.3 | 22.2° | 0 |
Quality of Contact
Barrel%
0.0%
HardHit%
65.2%
All Scored Matchups
| Date | Batter | Rank | Score | Tier | Form | HR? |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-06 | Ha-Seong Kim | #235 | 9 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-06-06 | Austin Wynns | #229 | 16 | ⚪ D | · — | · |
| 2026-06-06 | Dominic Smith | #194 | 30 | ⚪ D | ❄ COLD | 💥 |
| 2026-06-06 | Mike Yastrzemski | #186 | 32 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-06-06 | Ozzie Albies | #143 | 39 | ⚪ D | ➖ NTRL | · |
| 2026-06-06 | Austin Riley | #135 | 41 | ⚪ D | ➖ NTRL | · |
| 2026-06-06 | Mauricio Dubón | #99 | 48 | ⚪ D | 🔥 HOT | · |
| 2026-06-06 | Matt Olson | #28 | 64 | 🔵 C+ | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-05-31 | Orlando Arcia | #266 | 13 | ⚪ D | ➖ NTRL | · |
| 2026-05-31 | Luke Keaschall | #263 | 14 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-05-31 | Trevor Larnach | #248 | 24 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-05-31 | Tristan Gray | #247 | 24 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-05-31 | Josh Bell | #242 | 25 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-05-31 | Austin Martin | #232 | 28 | ⚪ D | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-05-31 | Alex Jackson | #221 | 30 | ⚪ D | ❄ COLD | · |
| 2026-05-31 | Brooks Lee | #217 | 31 | ⚪ D | ➖ NTRL | 💥 |
| 2026-05-31 | Kody Clemens | #149 | 42 | ⚪ D | ➖ NTRL | · |
| 2026-05-26 | Nico Hoerner | #252 | 15 | ⚪ D | ❄ COLD | · |
| 2026-05-26 | Carson Kelly | #240 | 21 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-05-26 | Seiya Suzuki | #218 | 27 | ⚪ D | ❄ COLD | · |
| 2026-05-26 | Dansby Swanson | #213 | 28 | ⚪ D | ❄ COLD | · |
| 2026-05-26 | Alex Bregman | #210 | 29 | ⚪ D | ➖ NTRL | · |
| 2026-05-26 | Pete Crow-Armstrong | #208 | 29 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-05-26 | Moisés Ballesteros | #132 | 42 | ⚪ D | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-05-26 | Michael Busch | #82 | 48 | ⚪ D | 🔥 HOT | · |
| 2026-05-26 | Ian Happ | #74 | 49 | ⚪ D | ➖ NTRL | · |
| 2026-05-21 | Victor Scott II | #115 | 8 | ⚪ D | ❄ COLD | · |
| 2026-05-21 | Masyn Winn | #106 | 19 | ⚪ D | ➖ NTRL | · |
| 2026-05-21 | José Fermín | #102 | 22 | ⚪ D | ➖ NTRL | · |
| 2026-05-21 | Iván Herrera | #100 | 23 | ⚪ D | ❄ COLD | 💥 |
| 2026-05-21 | Pedro Pagés | #99 | 24 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-05-21 | JJ Wetherholt | #68 | 33 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-05-21 | Nolan Gorman | #46 | 37 | ⚪ D | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-05-21 | Alec Burleson | #44 | 38 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-05-21 | Jordan Walker | #17 | 56 | 🟠 C | ❄ COLD | · |
| 2026-05-15 | Edmundo Sosa | #254 | 13 | ⚪ D | ❄ COLD | · |
| 2026-05-15 | Alec Bohm | #253 | 13 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-05-15 | Garrett Stubbs | #246 | 16 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-05-15 | Trea Turner | #239 | 20 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-05-15 | Brandon Marsh | #215 | 28 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-05-15 | Justin Crawford | #202 | 30 | ⚪ D | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-05-15 | Bryson Stott | #160 | 39 | ⚪ D | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-05-15 | Bryce Harper | #40 | 64 | 🔵 C+ | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-05-15 | Kyle Schwarber | #11 | 80 | 🟢 A | 📈 WARM | 💥 |
| 2026-05-09 | Patrick Bailey | #256 | 7 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-05-09 | Harrison Bader | #238 | 13 | ⚪ D | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-05-09 | Luis Arraez | #237 | 13 | ⚪ D | ➖ NTRL | · |
| 2026-05-09 | Rafael Devers | #236 | 13 | ⚪ D | ➖ NTRL | · |
| 2026-05-09 | Willy Adames | #231 | 14 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-05-09 | Matt Chapman | #213 | 18 | ⚪ D | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-05-09 | Heliot Ramos | #200 | 19 | ⚪ D | ➖ NTRL | · |
| 2026-05-09 | Casey Schmitt | #185 | 21 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-05-09 | Jung Hoo Lee | #160 | 24 | ⚪ D | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-05-03 | Eugenio Suárez | #243 | 3 | ⚪ D | ❄ COLD | · |
| 2026-05-03 | Matt McLain | #237 | 9 | ⚪ D | ➖ NTRL | · |
| 2026-05-03 | Tyler Stephenson | #234 | 11 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-05-03 | Ke'Bryan Hayes | #225 | 13 | ⚪ D | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-05-03 | TJ Friedl | #224 | 13 | ⚪ D | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-05-03 | Spencer Steer | #175 | 22 | ⚪ D | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-05-03 | Sal Stewart | #136 | 26 | ⚪ D | ➖ NTRL | · |
| 2026-05-03 | Elly De La Cruz | #117 | 28 | ⚪ D | ➖ NTRL | · |
| 2026-05-03 | Nathaniel Lowe | #104 | 30 | ⚪ D | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-04-22 | Joc Pederson | #251 | 13 | ⚪ D | ➖ NTRL | · |
| 2026-04-22 | Josh Smith | #239 | 16 | ⚪ D | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-04-22 | Josh Jung | #230 | 19 | ⚪ D | 📈 WARM | 💥 |
| 2026-04-22 | Wyatt Langford | #229 | 19 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-04-22 | Danny Jansen | #205 | 24 | ⚪ D | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-04-22 | Evan Carter | #181 | 28 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-04-22 | Brandon Nimmo | #158 | 33 | ⚪ D | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-04-22 | Jake Burger | #133 | 37 | ⚪ D | ➖ NTRL | · |
| 2026-04-22 | Corey Seager | #114 | 40 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-04-16 | Nasim Nuñez | #160 | 1 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-04-16 | Jorbit Vivas | #159 | 1 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-04-16 | Drew Millas | #158 | 2 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-04-16 | Daylen Lile | #156 | 10 | ⚪ D | ➖ NTRL | · |
| 2026-04-16 | Jacob Young | #145 | 19 | ⚪ D | ❄ COLD | · |
| 2026-04-16 | Brady House | #136 | 23 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-04-16 | Luis García Jr. | #121 | 28 | ⚪ D | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-04-16 | CJ Abrams | #56 | 49 | ⚪ D | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-04-16 | James Wood | #36 | 58 | 🟠 C | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-04-11 | Nico Hoerner | #231 | 23 | ⚪ D | ❄ COLD | · |
| 2026-04-11 | Carson Kelly | #164 | 37 | ⚪ D | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-04-11 | Kyle Tucker | #158 | 40 | ⚪ D | ❄ COLD | · |
| 2026-04-11 | Dansby Swanson | #157 | 37 | ⚪ D | ➖ NTRL | · |
| 2026-04-11 | Matt Shaw | #142 | 34 | ⚪ D | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-04-11 | Pete Crow-Armstrong | #115 | 45 | ⚪ D | ❄ COLD | · |
| 2026-04-11 | Ian Happ | #89 | 38 | ⚪ D | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-04-11 | Michael Busch | #81 | 50 | 🟠 C | ❄ COLD | · |
| 2026-04-11 | Seiya Suzuki | #74 | 47 | ⚪ D | ❄ COLD | · |
| 2026-04-05 | Adley Rutschman | #248 | 25 | ⚪ D | ➖ NTRL | · |
| 2026-04-05 | Dylan Carlson | #247 | 23 | ⚪ D | ➖ NTRL | · |
| 2026-04-05 | Ryan Mountcastle | #245 | 24 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-04-05 | Jackson Holliday | #241 | 24 | ⚪ D | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-04-05 | Coby Mayo | #240 | 29 | ⚪ D | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-04-05 | Gunnar Henderson | #239 | 28 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-04-05 | Tyler O'Neill | #237 | 34 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-04-05 | Jordan Westburg | #225 | 32 | ⚪ D | 🔥 HOT | · |
| 2026-04-05 | Colton Cowser | #213 | 33 | ⚪ D | ➖ NTRL | · |
| 2026-03-30 | Santiago Espinal | #225 | 19 | ⚪ D | 🔥 HOT | · |
| 2026-03-30 | Gavin Lux | #214 | 30 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-03-30 | TJ Friedl | #199 | 30 | ⚪ D | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-03-30 | Matt McLain | #187 | 35 | ⚪ D | 🔥 HOT | · |
| 2026-03-30 | Spencer Steer | #175 | 40 | ⚪ D | 🔥 HOT | · |
| 2026-03-30 | Austin Hays | #158 | 43 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | 💥 |
| 2026-03-30 | Noelvi Marte | #149 | 42 | ⚪ D | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-03-30 | Elly De La Cruz | #147 | 42 | ⚪ D | 🔥 HOT | · |
| 2026-03-30 | Tyler Stephenson | #128 | 46 | ⚪ D | 📈 WARM | · |