2026
15-Day HR Leaders
1 Hunter Goodman 6 HRs · 2 Nick Kurtz 6 HRs · 3 Dillon Dingler 4 HRs · 4 Corbin Carroll 4 HRs · 5 Pete Crow-Armstrong 4 HRs · 6 Jake Bauers 4 HRs · 7 Tyler Soderstrom 4 HRs · 8 Marcus Semien 4 HRs · 9 JJ Bleday 4 HRs · 10 Brandon Marsh 3 HRs · 11 Brooks Lee 3 HRs · 12 Cedric Mullins 3 HRs 1 Hunter Goodman 6 HRs · 2 Nick Kurtz 6 HRs · 3 Dillon Dingler 4 HRs · 4 Corbin Carroll 4 HRs · 5 Pete Crow-Armstrong 4 HRs · 6 Jake Bauers 4 HRs · 7 Tyler Soderstrom 4 HRs · 8 Marcus Semien 4 HRs · 9 JJ Bleday 4 HRs · 10 Brandon Marsh 3 HRs · 11 Brooks Lee 3 HRs · 12 Cedric Mullins 3 HRs
Braxton Ashcraft
Braxton Ashcraft RHP PIT
107 matchups scored · 12 game days
6 HRs Allowed
5.6% HR Rate (Pool)
8.2% Overall HR/FB
2.81 FIP
3.26 xFIP
-0.45 FIP-xFIP Gap
HR Vulnerability Snapshot Pool + today context
0.5
Pool HR/G ?Home runs allowed per tracked LongDong game day. Used when season HR/9 is unavailable.
8.2%
Overall HR/FB ?Pitcher's overall season HR-per-fly-ball rate. Matchup rows may show handedness splits such as vs LHH or vs RHH.
13th pctile
0.0%
Barrel% Allowed ?Percentage of contact against this pitcher classified as barrels (perfect EV+LA). >12% elite-bad, <5% elite-good.
65.2%
Hard-Hit% Allowed ?% of batted balls hit ≥95 mph against this pitcher. >45% elite homer-prone, <33% elite homer-resistant.
·
FB% ?Fly-ball rate (% of batted balls that are fly balls). >45% extreme fly-ball pitcher — gives up many HRs. <30% ground-ball pitcher — HR-resistant.
2.81
FIP ?Fielding Independent Pitching. >5.0 elite-bad, 4.0–5.0 above avg, <3.5 elite-good. Isolates pitcher's HR/K/BB skill from defense.
13th pctile
3.26
xFIP ?FIP with HR/FB normalised to league average. Better predictor of FUTURE HR rate than FIP.
-0.45
FIP − xFIP ?Positive gap = pitcher has been UNLUCKY with HRs (regression coming). Negative = lucky (regression up). >+0.5 elite regression candidate.
27th pctile
5.6%
Pool HR Rate ?% of LongDong scored matchups against this pitcher that resulted in a HR. Internal benchmark.
107
Pool Matchups
6
HRs Allowed (Pool)
1
Top-15 Matchups
1
HRs to Top-15
5.6%
HR Rate
Recent HR Splits
trend vs full-pool HR rate
Window Matchups Game Days HR HR Rate HR/Game Avg Max EV Avg HR EV Avg HR LA Avg HR Dist Trend
Last 7 17 2 2 11.8% 1.0 96.3mph 97.5mph 32.5° 372ft Up +6.2pp
Last 15 26 3 2 7.7% 0.67 96.6mph 97.5mph 32.5° 372ft Up +2.1pp
Last 30 53 6 4 7.5% 0.67 98.2mph 103.6mph 27.2° 390ft Flat +1.9pp
Batted-Ball Damage
89 tracked BBE from 107 pool matchups
96.4
112.2
58
0
102.2
29.3°
376
Date Batter Max EV HR EV HR LA HR Dist HR?
2026-06-06 Matt Olson 109.5mph · · · ·
2026-06-06 Austin Riley 103.5mph · · · ·
2026-06-06 Mike Yastrzemski 102.0mph · · · ·
2026-06-06 Dominic Smith 102.0mph 93.4mph 29° 351ft Yes
2026-05-31 Alex Jackson 106.1mph · · · ·
2026-05-31 Brooks Lee 101.6mph 101.6mph 36° 393ft Yes
2026-05-26 Ian Happ 108.7mph · · · ·
2026-05-26 Pete Crow-Armstrong 105.6mph · · · ·
HRs Allowed Per Game Day
12 days · 6 total HRs
HRs Allowed
6 home runs against scored batters
Date Batter Rank Score Stadium EV Angle Dist
2026-06-06 Dominic Smith #194 30 Truist Park 93.4mph 29.0° 351ft
2026-05-31 Brooks Lee #217 31 PNC Park 101.6mph 36.0° 393ft
2026-05-21 Iván Herrera #100 23 Busch Stadium 108.7mph 23.0° 408.0ft
2026-05-15 Kyle Schwarber #11 80 PNC Park 110.7mph 21.0° 408.0ft
2026-04-22 Josh Jung #230 19 Globe Life Field 98.0mph 34.0° 344.0ft
2026-03-30 Austin Hays #158 43 Great American Ball Park 100.8mph 33.0° 353.0ft
Pitch Arsenal
higher RV = more hittable
Pitch Pitches Usage RV/100 Avg EV Avg LA HRs
Fastball 369 32.3% +0.1 84.1 35.1° 5
Curveball 278 24.3% -1.7 85.4 5.9° 2
Slider 273 23.9% +0.4 82.5 -2.6° 1
Sinker 170 14.9% -1.7 87.4 -4.1° 0
Splitter 53 4.6% -1.6 83.3 22.2° 0
Quality of Contact
FanGraphs season stats
Barrel%
0.0%
0.0%
HardHit%
65.2%
65.2%
All Scored Matchups
107 matchups · newest first
Date Batter Rank Score Tier Form HR?
2026-06-06 Ha-Seong Kim #235 9 ⚪ D 📉 COOL ·
2026-06-06 Austin Wynns #229 16 ⚪ D · — ·
2026-06-06 Dominic Smith #194 30 ⚪ D ❄ COLD 💥
2026-06-06 Mike Yastrzemski #186 32 ⚪ D 📉 COOL ·
2026-06-06 Ozzie Albies #143 39 ⚪ D ➖ NTRL ·
2026-06-06 Austin Riley #135 41 ⚪ D ➖ NTRL ·
2026-06-06 Mauricio Dubón #99 48 ⚪ D 🔥 HOT ·
2026-06-06 Matt Olson #28 64 🔵 C+ 📉 COOL ·
2026-05-31 Orlando Arcia #266 13 ⚪ D ➖ NTRL ·
2026-05-31 Luke Keaschall #263 14 ⚪ D 📉 COOL ·
2026-05-31 Trevor Larnach #248 24 ⚪ D 📉 COOL ·
2026-05-31 Tristan Gray #247 24 ⚪ D 📉 COOL ·
2026-05-31 Josh Bell #242 25 ⚪ D 📉 COOL ·
2026-05-31 Austin Martin #232 28 ⚪ D 📈 WARM ·
2026-05-31 Alex Jackson #221 30 ⚪ D ❄ COLD ·
2026-05-31 Brooks Lee #217 31 ⚪ D ➖ NTRL 💥
2026-05-31 Kody Clemens #149 42 ⚪ D ➖ NTRL ·
2026-05-26 Nico Hoerner #252 15 ⚪ D ❄ COLD ·
2026-05-26 Carson Kelly #240 21 ⚪ D 📉 COOL ·
2026-05-26 Seiya Suzuki #218 27 ⚪ D ❄ COLD ·
2026-05-26 Dansby Swanson #213 28 ⚪ D ❄ COLD ·
2026-05-26 Alex Bregman #210 29 ⚪ D ➖ NTRL ·
2026-05-26 Pete Crow-Armstrong #208 29 ⚪ D 📉 COOL ·
2026-05-26 Moisés Ballesteros #132 42 ⚪ D 📈 WARM ·
2026-05-26 Michael Busch #82 48 ⚪ D 🔥 HOT ·
2026-05-26 Ian Happ #74 49 ⚪ D ➖ NTRL ·
2026-05-21 Victor Scott II #115 8 ⚪ D ❄ COLD ·
2026-05-21 Masyn Winn #106 19 ⚪ D ➖ NTRL ·
2026-05-21 José Fermín #102 22 ⚪ D ➖ NTRL ·
2026-05-21 Iván Herrera #100 23 ⚪ D ❄ COLD 💥
2026-05-21 Pedro Pagés #99 24 ⚪ D 📉 COOL ·
2026-05-21 JJ Wetherholt #68 33 ⚪ D 📉 COOL ·
2026-05-21 Nolan Gorman #46 37 ⚪ D 📈 WARM ·
2026-05-21 Alec Burleson #44 38 ⚪ D 📉 COOL ·
2026-05-21 Jordan Walker #17 56 🟠 C ❄ COLD ·
2026-05-15 Edmundo Sosa #254 13 ⚪ D ❄ COLD ·
2026-05-15 Alec Bohm #253 13 ⚪ D 📉 COOL ·
2026-05-15 Garrett Stubbs #246 16 ⚪ D 📉 COOL ·
2026-05-15 Trea Turner #239 20 ⚪ D 📉 COOL ·
2026-05-15 Brandon Marsh #215 28 ⚪ D 📉 COOL ·
2026-05-15 Justin Crawford #202 30 ⚪ D 📈 WARM ·
2026-05-15 Bryson Stott #160 39 ⚪ D 📈 WARM ·
2026-05-15 Bryce Harper #40 64 🔵 C+ 📈 WARM ·
2026-05-15 Kyle Schwarber #11 80 🟢 A 📈 WARM 💥
2026-05-09 Patrick Bailey #256 7 ⚪ D 📉 COOL ·
2026-05-09 Harrison Bader #238 13 ⚪ D 📈 WARM ·
2026-05-09 Luis Arraez #237 13 ⚪ D ➖ NTRL ·
2026-05-09 Rafael Devers #236 13 ⚪ D ➖ NTRL ·
2026-05-09 Willy Adames #231 14 ⚪ D 📉 COOL ·
2026-05-09 Matt Chapman #213 18 ⚪ D 📈 WARM ·
2026-05-09 Heliot Ramos #200 19 ⚪ D ➖ NTRL ·
2026-05-09 Casey Schmitt #185 21 ⚪ D 📉 COOL ·
2026-05-09 Jung Hoo Lee #160 24 ⚪ D 📈 WARM ·
2026-05-03 Eugenio Suárez #243 3 ⚪ D ❄ COLD ·
2026-05-03 Matt McLain #237 9 ⚪ D ➖ NTRL ·
2026-05-03 Tyler Stephenson #234 11 ⚪ D 📉 COOL ·
2026-05-03 Ke'Bryan Hayes #225 13 ⚪ D 📈 WARM ·
2026-05-03 TJ Friedl #224 13 ⚪ D 📈 WARM ·
2026-05-03 Spencer Steer #175 22 ⚪ D 📈 WARM ·
2026-05-03 Sal Stewart #136 26 ⚪ D ➖ NTRL ·
2026-05-03 Elly De La Cruz #117 28 ⚪ D ➖ NTRL ·
2026-05-03 Nathaniel Lowe #104 30 ⚪ D 📈 WARM ·
2026-04-22 Joc Pederson #251 13 ⚪ D ➖ NTRL ·
2026-04-22 Josh Smith #239 16 ⚪ D 📈 WARM ·
2026-04-22 Josh Jung #230 19 ⚪ D 📈 WARM 💥
2026-04-22 Wyatt Langford #229 19 ⚪ D 📉 COOL ·
2026-04-22 Danny Jansen #205 24 ⚪ D 📈 WARM ·
2026-04-22 Evan Carter #181 28 ⚪ D 📉 COOL ·
2026-04-22 Brandon Nimmo #158 33 ⚪ D 📈 WARM ·
2026-04-22 Jake Burger #133 37 ⚪ D ➖ NTRL ·
2026-04-22 Corey Seager #114 40 ⚪ D 📉 COOL ·
2026-04-16 Nasim Nuñez #160 1 ⚪ D 📉 COOL ·
2026-04-16 Jorbit Vivas #159 1 ⚪ D 📉 COOL ·
2026-04-16 Drew Millas #158 2 ⚪ D 📉 COOL ·
2026-04-16 Daylen Lile #156 10 ⚪ D ➖ NTRL ·
2026-04-16 Jacob Young #145 19 ⚪ D ❄ COLD ·
2026-04-16 Brady House #136 23 ⚪ D 📉 COOL ·
2026-04-16 Luis García Jr. #121 28 ⚪ D 📈 WARM ·
2026-04-16 CJ Abrams #56 49 ⚪ D 📈 WARM ·
2026-04-16 James Wood #36 58 🟠 C 📈 WARM ·
2026-04-11 Nico Hoerner #231 23 ⚪ D ❄ COLD ·
2026-04-11 Carson Kelly #164 37 ⚪ D 📈 WARM ·
2026-04-11 Kyle Tucker #158 40 ⚪ D ❄ COLD ·
2026-04-11 Dansby Swanson #157 37 ⚪ D ➖ NTRL ·
2026-04-11 Matt Shaw #142 34 ⚪ D 📈 WARM ·
2026-04-11 Pete Crow-Armstrong #115 45 ⚪ D ❄ COLD ·
2026-04-11 Ian Happ #89 38 ⚪ D 📈 WARM ·
2026-04-11 Michael Busch #81 50 🟠 C ❄ COLD ·
2026-04-11 Seiya Suzuki #74 47 ⚪ D ❄ COLD ·
2026-04-05 Adley Rutschman #248 25 ⚪ D ➖ NTRL ·
2026-04-05 Dylan Carlson #247 23 ⚪ D ➖ NTRL ·
2026-04-05 Ryan Mountcastle #245 24 ⚪ D 📉 COOL ·
2026-04-05 Jackson Holliday #241 24 ⚪ D 📈 WARM ·
2026-04-05 Coby Mayo #240 29 ⚪ D 📈 WARM ·
2026-04-05 Gunnar Henderson #239 28 ⚪ D 📉 COOL ·
2026-04-05 Tyler O'Neill #237 34 ⚪ D 📉 COOL ·
2026-04-05 Jordan Westburg #225 32 ⚪ D 🔥 HOT ·
2026-04-05 Colton Cowser #213 33 ⚪ D ➖ NTRL ·
2026-03-30 Santiago Espinal #225 19 ⚪ D 🔥 HOT ·
2026-03-30 Gavin Lux #214 30 ⚪ D 📉 COOL ·
2026-03-30 TJ Friedl #199 30 ⚪ D 📈 WARM ·
2026-03-30 Matt McLain #187 35 ⚪ D 🔥 HOT ·
2026-03-30 Spencer Steer #175 40 ⚪ D 🔥 HOT ·
2026-03-30 Austin Hays #158 43 ⚪ D 📉 COOL 💥
2026-03-30 Noelvi Marte #149 42 ⚪ D 📈 WARM ·
2026-03-30 Elly De La Cruz #147 42 ⚪ D 🔥 HOT ·
2026-03-30 Tyler Stephenson #128 46 ⚪ D 📈 WARM ·

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